Statistics Profile

ERIKA WONG (Erika)

2000

Massialas Foundation (M Team)

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	2619	1958 - 3279	2496	2619
Foil	Direct elimination	3190	2169 - 4210	3190	3190
Saber	Pool	2794	2123 - 3464	2794	2794
Saber	Direct elimination	2068	705 - 3430	2068	2068

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.