Statistics Profile

Alan Dang

1992

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2109	1664 - 2553	1396	2134
Épée	Direct elimination	2316	1666 - 2965	1931	2316
Foil	Pool	2221	1450 - 2991	2221	3308
Foil	Direct elimination	2025	1043 - 3006	2025	2174
Saber	Pool	1585	862 - 2307	1486	1585
Saber	Direct elimination	1876	631 - 3120	1876	1876

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.