Statistics Profile

Alan Dang

1992

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2134	1621 - 2646	1396	2134
Épée	Direct elimination	2242	1493 - 2990	1962	2242
Foil	Pool	2222	1451 - 2992	2222	3308
Foil	Direct elimination	2025	1043 - 3006	2025	2174
Saber	Pool	1586	863 - 2308	1488	1586
Saber	Direct elimination	1874	630 - 3117	1874	1874

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.