Statistics Profile

Grace Buchanan

1959

Northshore Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1054	199 - 1908	1054	1054
Foil	Direct elimination	1797	578 - 3015	1797	1797
Saber	Pool	1343	360 - 2325	1343	1343
Saber	Direct elimination	2717	1437 - 3996	2717	2717

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.