Statistics Profile

Grace Seal

2003

Valkyrie Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	2826	2656 - 2995	2665	2964
Foil	Direct elimination	2946	2754 - 3137	2079	3083
Saber	Pool	1749	1434 - 2063	1749	2030
Saber	Direct elimination	2431	1967 - 2894	2335	2827

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.