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Statistics Profile

Nova Gregory

Verified
1999
Five Points Fencing Academy Rogue Fencing Academy

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 2197 2031 - 2362 2195 3616
Épée Direct elimination 2622 2429 - 2814 2622 3277
Foil Pool 2100 1242 - 2957 2100 2100
Foil Direct elimination 2161 978 - 3343 2161 2161
Saber Pool 3237 2065 - 4408 3237 3237
Saber Direct elimination 2555 1291 - 3818 2555 2555

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.