Statistics Profile

Isaiah Merriam

1985

Wasatch Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2225	2042 - 2407	2193	2833
Épée	Direct elimination	2510	2278 - 2741	2199	2659
Foil	Pool	2001	1626 - 2375	1913	2001
Foil	Direct elimination	1481	445 - 2516	1481	1481
Saber	Pool	1731	1419 - 2042	1439	1876
Saber	Direct elimination	2162	1541 - 2782	1678	2678

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.