Statistics Profile

Erica Julien

1945
Forge Fencing Teams DUR Cape Fear Fencing Association

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 1399 1228 - 1569 1334 3137
Épée Direct elimination 1568 1373 - 1762 1113 2168
Foil Pool 1223 827 - 1618 1061 1223
Foil Direct elimination 1382 785 - 1978 1110 1839
Saber Pool 1224 1045 - 1402 1224 2007
Saber Direct elimination 1628 1350 - 1905 1600 2496

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

Log in to compare your projected matchup, or create an account with your USFA number to enable it.

Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.