Statistics Profile

Michal Juscinski

2002

Fencing Illini, University of Illinois

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2481	2296 - 2665	1817	2558
Épée	Direct elimination	2892	2624 - 3159	2007	3084
Foil	Pool	1955	1745 - 2164	1635	2077
Foil	Direct elimination	1754	1239 - 2268	1749	2034

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.