Statistics Profile

Nadia Raza

2005

Illinois Fencers Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2365	2170 - 2559	1511	2382
Épée	Direct elimination	2483	2150 - 2815	2079	2557
Foil	Pool	1847	1536 - 2157	1046	1847
Foil	Direct elimination	1580	874 - 2285	1370	1763

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.