Statistics Profile

Tristan Santulli

2003

Drew University NCAA Boston Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2274	1665 - 2882	2274	2333
Épée	Direct elimination	2485	1737 - 3232	2485	2845
Foil	Pool	2629	2459 - 2798	2294	3272
Foil	Direct elimination	2516	2303 - 2728	1597	2571

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.