Statistics Profile

Hal Goddard

2001

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2425	2220 - 2629	1243	2425
Épée	Direct elimination	2505	2127 - 2882	1844	2505
Foil	Pool	1787	1395 - 2178	1296	1867
Foil	Direct elimination	1999	1268 - 2729	1934	2426

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.