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Statistics Profile

Andrew Chan

1999
Denver Fencing Center Fortune Fencing
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Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 2533 2042 - 3023 2533 2533
Épée Direct elimination 2778 1957 - 3598 2778 2778
Foil Pool 2325 1926 - 2723 2050 2474
Foil Direct elimination 2544 1829 - 3258 2234 2600
Saber Pool 2484 2007 - 2960 2414 2898
Saber Direct elimination 2213 1490 - 2935 2213 2362

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.