Statistics Profile

Kayleigh Worek

1991

Denver Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1519	839 - 2198	1519	1519
Foil	Direct elimination	1942	668 - 3215	1942	1942
Saber	Pool	2806	1427 - 4184	2806	2806
Saber	Direct elimination	3109	1961 - 4256	3109	3109

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.