Fencing Tracker

Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	883	181 - 1584	883	1349
Épée	Direct elimination	1437	365 - 2508	1437	1745
Foil	Pool	948	759 - 1136	712	1290
Foil	Direct elimination	1246	941 - 1550	990	1537
Saber	Pool	923	467 - 1378	923	2205
Saber	Direct elimination	1150	187 - 2112	1150	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.