Statistics Profile

Tinney Mak

2003

Princeton University NCAA

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	3309	2544 - 4073	3309	3309
Épée	Direct elimination	2707	1499 - 3914	2707	2707
Foil	Pool	3444	3241 - 3646	3378	4005
Foil	Direct elimination	3917	3678 - 4155	3747	4141

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.