Statistics Profile

Cindy Shen

1999

Wasatch Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2303	1785 - 2820	1822	2303
Épée	Direct elimination	2261	1426 - 3095	2188	2261
Foil	Pool	1977	1163 - 2790	1977	1977
Foil	Direct elimination	2854	1498 - 4209	2854	2854
Saber	Pool	1664	480 - 2847	1664	1664

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.