Statistics Profile

Alina Lee

2003

Massialas Foundation (M Team) The Ohio State University NCAA

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2405	1685 - 3124	2285	2405
Épée	Direct elimination	2959	1923 - 3994	2959	2959
Foil	Pool	3195	3017 - 3372	2586	3494
Foil	Direct elimination	3599	3424 - 3773	2406	3680

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.