Statistics Profile

Kristina Smith

1962

Princeton Interscholastic Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1905	1644 - 2165	1827	2006
Épée	Direct elimination	1728	1180 - 2275	1227	2069
Foil	Pool	1539	971 - 2106	1539	2079
Foil	Direct elimination	1662	492 - 2831	1662	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.