Statistics Profile

Matthew Adams

1965

Fencing Academy Of Denver

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1699	978 - 2419	1699	1699
Épée	Direct elimination	1739	498 - 2979	1739	1739
Saber	Pool	1041	51 - 2030	1041	1041
Saber	Direct elimination	1857	608 - 3105	1857	1857

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.