Statistics Profile

Sara Nash

1970

Fencing Academy Of Philadelphia - North

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1283	579 - 1986	1208	1283
Foil	Direct elimination	2106	995 - 3216	1936	2106
Saber	Pool	1263	657 - 1868	1255	1361
Saber	Direct elimination	1839	767 - 2910	1839	2234

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.