Statistics Profile

Asherah Horsley

Verified
2002
Zeljkovic Fencing Academy Cornell University NCAA

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Foil Pool 3226 3035 - 3416 3221 3665
Foil Direct elimination 3547 3346 - 3747 3027 3974
Saber Pool 2383 1592 - 3173 2383 2383
Saber Direct elimination 1908 637 - 3178 1908 1908

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.