Statistics Profile

Ethan LaHaug

2003

Boise Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1864	1621 - 2106	1560	2275
Foil	Direct elimination	1918	1494 - 2341	1667	2079
Saber	Pool	2135	1111 - 3158	2135	2135
Saber	Direct elimination	2382	1201 - 3562	2382	2382

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.