Statistics Profile

Andrew Hinman

1986

Orion Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2457	2223 - 2690	2236	2478
Épée	Direct elimination	2786	2459 - 3112	2001	2980
Foil	Pool	1425	848 - 2001	1425	1773
Foil	Direct elimination	1470	595 - 2344	1470	1613
Saber	Pool	1999	1359 - 2638	1982	2024
Saber	Direct elimination	2056	1282 - 2829	2032	2272

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.