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Statistics Profile

John Clayman

1999
Denver Fencing Center Denver Fencing Foundation
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Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 2000 1714 - 2285 1949 2075
Épée Direct elimination 2411 1913 - 2908 2411 3195
Foil Pool 2316 2132 - 2499 2124 2772
Foil Direct elimination 2749 2503 - 2994 1931 2977
Saber Pool 1782 1409 - 2154 1518 1861
Saber Direct elimination 2482 1866 - 3097 2482 3309

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.