Statistics Profile

Phileas Auray

2003

Spartak RedStar Fencing Club Chicago

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2607	2159 - 3054	2017	2742
Épée	Direct elimination	2468	1661 - 3274	2353	2468
Saber	Pool	2946	2747 - 3144	2813	3149
Saber	Direct elimination	3148	2860 - 3435	2233	3279

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.