Statistics Profile

Julian Chitu

2002

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2476	2105 - 2846	2050	2476
Épée	Direct elimination	2678	2008 - 3347	2678	2711
Foil	Pool	2678	2308 - 3047	2678	2787
Foil	Direct elimination	2414	1735 - 3092	2397	2485

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.