Statistics Profile

David Hite

1998

Candlewood Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	2248	1424 - 3071	2248	2248
Foil	Direct elimination	2191	1121 - 3260	2191	2191
Saber	Pool	2131	1526 - 2735	2131	2718
Saber	Direct elimination	2568	1488 - 3647	2568	2568

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.