Statistics Profile

Sarah Boffoli

2002

West Shore Fencers Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1147	517 - 1776	1147	1523
Foil	Direct elimination	1774	615 - 2932	1774	2079
Saber	Pool	1717	1377 - 2056	1659	1919
Saber	Direct elimination	2082	1189 - 2974	2082	2469

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.