Statistics Profile

Thomas Zhang

1997

Fencing Academy Of Philadelphia - University City

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2714	2094 - 3333	2519	2714
Épée	Direct elimination	2887	2185 - 3588	2427	2887
Foil	Pool	2276	1380 - 3171	2276	2276
Foil	Direct elimination	2088	969 - 3206	2088	2088

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.