Statistics Profile

Donal Mahoney

1999

Allegro Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2809	2110 - 3507	2809	2809
Épée	Direct elimination	2219	823 - 3614	2219	2219
Saber	Pool	2694	2221 - 3166	2694	2946
Saber	Direct elimination	2177	1228 - 3125	2177	2726

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.