Statistics Profile

Ryan Ficklin

2004

San Luis Highlanders Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1666	1101 - 2230	1666	2320
Épée	Direct elimination	2429	1500 - 3357	2232	2429
Saber	Pool	1833	1029 - 2636	1436	1833
Saber	Direct elimination	1971	986 - 2955	1971	2279

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.