Statistics Profile

Christopher Lee

Verified
2009
Metro Tacoma Fencing Club

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 2304 2074 - 2533 2304 3593
Épée Direct elimination 2697 2401 - 2992 2079 2723
Foil Pool 2498 2320 - 2675 2333 3568
Foil Direct elimination 2738 2567 - 2908 2585 3325

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.