Statistics Profile

Andrea Shin

2003

Avant Garde Fencers Club, Inc (CA) (AGFC)

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1612	465 - 2758	1612	1612
Foil	Direct elimination	2123	783 - 3462	2123	2123
Saber	Pool	2645	2472 - 2817	2230	2780
Saber	Direct elimination	2833	2594 - 3071	2313	2982

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.