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Statistics Profile

Ethan Insler

Verified
2004
Rhode Island Fencing Academy And Club

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 2885 2715 - 3054 2630 3860
Épée Direct elimination 3355 3183 - 3526 2693 3356
Saber Pool 2185 1332 - 3037 2185 2185
Saber Direct elimination 2178 1168 - 3187 2178 2178

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.