Statistics Profile

Marissa Knell

1994

New Orleans Fencers Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1570	1164 - 1975	1372	1570
Épée	Direct elimination	1452	731 - 2172	1271	1681
Foil	Pool	1000	631 - 1368	1000	1556
Foil	Direct elimination	990	84 - 1895	990	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.