Statistics Profile

Nicole Yu

2007

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2698	2522 - 2873	2191	2818
Épée	Direct elimination	3080	2907 - 3252	2196	3163
Foil	Pool	2437	2201 - 2672	2118	2489
Foil	Direct elimination	2361	1942 - 2779	2079	2610

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.