Statistics Profile

Andrew York

2003

Orion Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2677	2264 - 3089	2139	2677
Épée	Direct elimination	3021	2419 - 3622	2161	3021
Foil	Pool	2249	1742 - 2755	2249	2862
Foil	Direct elimination	2367	1817 - 2916	2367	2914
Saber	Pool	2551	2343 - 2758	1826	2678
Saber	Direct elimination	2609	2293 - 2924	1710	2609

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.