Statistics Profile

Alex Paek

2003

Golubitsky Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2916	2682 - 3149	2871	3463
Épée	Direct elimination	3034	2596 - 3471	2039	3110
Foil	Pool	3022	2848 - 3195	2920	3716
Foil	Direct elimination	3185	2961 - 3408	2426	3277

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.