Statistics Profile

Donovan Munlin

1997

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2644	2470 - 2817	2628	3192
Épée	Direct elimination	3332	3149 - 3514	2577	3483
Saber	Pool	2559	1920 - 3197	2559	2559
Saber	Direct elimination	2123	759 - 3486	2123	2123

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.