Statistics Profile

Geoffrey Landis

1955

On Target Fencing Team

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1613	1442 - 1783	1462	1925
Épée	Direct elimination	1596	1307 - 1884	1064	2079
Foil	Pool	1371	1127 - 1614	1180	1464
Foil	Direct elimination	1026	409 - 1642	943	2079
Saber	Pool	1411	786 - 2035	1411	2496
Saber	Direct elimination	1449	291 - 2606	1449	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.