Statistics Profile

Nicholas Wong

2005

West Berkeley Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2738	2564 - 2911	2259	2854
Épée	Direct elimination	3108	2880 - 3335	2662	3217
Foil	Pool	2761	2585 - 2936	2122	2872
Foil	Direct elimination	2847	2599 - 3094	1931	2847

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.