Statistics Profile

Laurie Lapp

1968

Traverse City Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1991	1755 - 2226	1954	2725
Épée	Direct elimination	2172	1736 - 2607	2172	3105
Saber	Pool	1969	1783 - 2154	1969	2921
Saber	Direct elimination	2136	1836 - 2435	1518	2438

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.