Statistics Profile

Eri McClain-Yu

2005

US Air Force Academy NCAA University

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2836	2639 - 3032	2034	2923
Épée	Direct elimination	3033	2750 - 3315	2005	3280
Foil	Pool	2169	1576 - 2761	2169	2427
Foil	Direct elimination	2770	1981 - 3558	2770	3077

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.