Statistics Profile

Kevin Liu

2002

Fencing Sports Academy, Inc.

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2530	2001 - 3058	2530	2695
Épée	Direct elimination	1885	699 - 3070	1885	2315
Foil	Pool	2833	1960 - 3705	2833	2833
Foil	Direct elimination	2600	1340 - 3859	2600	2600

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.