Statistics Profile

Jeremy Cho

2003

Washington University. St. Louis

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2891	2328 - 3453	2328	2891
Épée	Direct elimination	3381	2759 - 4002	3201	3381
Foil	Pool	2495	2279 - 2710	1987	2579
Foil	Direct elimination	2742	2378 - 3105	1763	2742

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.