Statistics Profile

David Fort

2004

Fencing Club At NC State

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2150	1616 - 2683	1809	2150
Épée	Direct elimination	1915	1024 - 2805	1915	2302
Saber	Pool	2356	2180 - 2531	1859	2356
Saber	Direct elimination	2421	2205 - 2636	1571	2444

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.