Statistics Profile

Will Waters

2000

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2045	1207 - 2882	2045	2045
Épée	Direct elimination	2338	1146 - 3529	2338	2338
Foil	Pool	2322	1831 - 2812	2283	2394
Foil	Direct elimination	2650	1936 - 3363	2003	2650

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.