Statistics Profile

Matthew Mitchell

1961

Fencing Academy Of Philadelphia - North

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1526	1320 - 1731	1445	2080
Épée	Direct elimination	1475	1093 - 1856	1324	2307
Saber	Pool	1407	1159 - 1654	1407	1833
Saber	Direct elimination	1598	1066 - 2129	1171	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.