Statistics Profile

Jameson Karnes

1998

Stoccata Fencing Academy & Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	2215	1228 - 3201	2215	2215
Foil	Direct elimination	2875	1758 - 3991	2875	2875
Saber	Pool	2636	2362 - 2909	2515	2702
Saber	Direct elimination	3010	2676 - 3343	2878	3476

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.