Statistics Profile

Declan Beauchamp

2005

Drexel University Fencing Club Philadelphia Fencers Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1425	919 - 1930	1425	1820
Épée	Direct elimination	2436	1649 - 3222	1647	2436
Saber	Pool	1590	1361 - 1818	982	1590
Saber	Direct elimination	1597	1163 - 2030	1102	2187

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.